Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 34.509087 40.936158 48.019783 56.377804 65.939904 76.507365 89.037795
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 25.761223 34.425067 44.930911 58.480931 75.353529 95.522057 121.288565
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.128012 29.571799 41.911429 58.941097 81.518265 110.077285 148.533447
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.623384 24.989641 38.062459 57.189505 83.926124 119.370193 169.185947
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.920234 22.278852 36.114721 57.395503 88.495142 131.351481 193.723611
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.031525 20.375549 34.927004 58.323806 93.870482 144.518070 220.453158
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.490700 16.924852 30.828898 54.278623 91.404182 146.182249 230.875831
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.511674 15.921453 30.427869 55.826215 97.336824 160.240040 259.783384
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.355074 14.372215 28.871297 55.253666 99.790380 169.114606 281.393330
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.003807 14.283693 29.816164 58.922788 109.274189 189.239634 321.004610
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.804623 12.265642 26.984838 55.691852 107.009142 190.716519 331.823624
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.335470 11.690418 26.771991 57.089286 112.633744 205.051339 363.476004
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.945738 11.306194 27.053803 59.767365 121.307019 225.888810 408.380155
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.547847 10.836263 27.132768 62.146581 129.803523 247.254900 455.876697
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.054325 10.007564 26.317518 62.648946 134.876683 263.100394 495.120771
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.481397 8.809771 24.477278 60.805829 135.317144 270.853136 521.066236
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.130853 8.124313 23.680883 61.023022 139.680428 285.733695 559.937369
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.872743 7.636174 23.267597 62.000868 145.586712 303.698010 605.048852
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.418231 6.372704 20.677386 57.738967 140.446487 300.938338 613.188851
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.275937 6.109783 20.640460 59.369756 147.642025 321.678809 664.630024
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.074230 5.560991 19.722175 58.766470 150.007316 333.292615 699.898078
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.037968 5.635799 20.581486 62.631742 162.364164 364.929434 773.663978
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.803248 4.813647 18.657027 59.228184 158.343109 364.108301 786.544083